Despite a dimmer outlook for South American soybean production, U.S. exports for 2011/12 are expected to be unchanged at 1.275 billion bushels as an anticipated upswing in sales may only narrow a large gap with last years pace of shipments. Domestic processing margins for soybeans have not appreciably improved, either, so the 2011/12 crush forecast did not change from 1.615 billion bushels. Without changes in forecast U.S. soybean demand, the expectation for season-ending stocks is unchanged at 275 million bushels. Based on smaller South American crops, global soybean production for 2011/12 is forecast down by 5.5 million metric tons this month to 251.5 million. In Brazil, drought losses in the South are forecast to reduce 2011/12 soybean production by 2 million tons this month to 72 million. Soybean production for Argentina in 2011/12 is also forecast down this month to 48 million tons from 50.5 million due to lower estimates of area and yields.